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State of the Union With Candy Crowley

The Tea Party; same-sex marriage; women's place in conservative politics.

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01:01:00

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Ukraine 38, Russia 36, Crimea 26, Durbin 11, United States 10, Us 10, Nato 8, Clinton 7, Graham 7, U.s. 7, Kiev 6, Joe Biden 5, United Nations 4, Fareed Zakaria 4, Georgia 4, Obama 3, Lindsey Graham 3, Afar 3, Poland 3, North Korea 3,
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  CNN    State of the Union With Candy Crowley    The Tea Party; same-sex marriage;  
   women's place in conservative politics.  

    March 2, 2014
    6:00 - 7:01am PST  

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in a ton of money. polls show a dead heat. early voting started yesterday. the republicans are worried the libertarian might get a little too much. keep an eye on it. more money will flood in in the final two weeks. it is a true test of whether obamacare can be the new republican message and drive turnout. thanks for sharing your sunday morning with us. see you soon. "state of the union" with candy crowley starts right now. \s this is the red alert. this is not the threat. this is actually the declaration of war to my country. >> that is ukraine's new prime minister responding to increased russian military forces in crimea. i'm candy crowley and this is a special edition of "state of the union."
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good morning from washington. the prime minister of ukraine says his country is "on the brink of disaster." russian troops are in crimea and in response, ukrainian government has called up its military reservists, even as it admits the country can't match russia's firepower. ukraine's defense minister says russian soldiers converged on three military bases in crimea demanding ukrainian troops surrender and give up their weapons. the ukrainian soldiers did not and there has been no fighting between them. president obama and russian president vladimir putin spoke over the phone for 90 minutes saturday. the u.s. says russia is breaking international law. russia says it's protecting its military personnel and citizens in crimea. in response to all of this, the united states, great britain and france are suspending their participation in preparation talks for the g-8 summit being held in russia in june. we're going to get a lot of perspectives on this, but we want to go first to ukraine's ambassador to the u.n. we'll also speak later to
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president obama he's former national security advisor and two top u.s. senators. mr. ambassador, first of all, thank you so much for joining us. i want to ask you in response to a couple of breaking developments now. the prime minister now in ukraine says this has been a declaration of war. what russia has done, by moving its troops, into crimea. what, practically speaking, does that mean, given that nearly everyone admits this is not a military confrontation the ukraine can take on and win. >> yesterday we demand the security council at united nations had its meeting, extraordinary meeting. and we declared that what is going on in ukraine is the act of aggression from the russian side against ukraine. so we proved it by the united nations documents which are defining the act of aggression which started long before the
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decision of the russian parliament. russian ambassador could not explain the exact reason why they send the troops to ukraine. the pretext, he explain he expl absolutely shocking. because is to protect russian speaking population. couldn't imagine russians could protect any russian-speaking around the world, including here at united nations. in united states, in brooklyn. so it means that the explaining from russia's side absolutely unacceptable pretext which is not foreseen by the international laws. so that's why today the prime minister said what he said and yesterday we were supported by the critics in the united nations really estimating that
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it is an act of aggression. >> i think that clearly world opinion is on the side of the government in kiev. my question to you is, okay, it's a declaration of war by russia. let's accept that that is what those movement of russian troops over the border has been. now what? because if ukraine doesn't have the military forces to confront russia, who or what backs them off? >> first of all, we address to the guarantors of our security, territorial integrity the countries who are permanent members of the security council and who gave us guarantee under the so-called budapest agreement in 1994 to protect our territorial integrity. so yesterday on our appeal in the security council, the ambassador of united kingdom
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addressed all the guarantors to conduct immediate consultations as it is provisioned by the memorandum. >> but realistically, do you expect, mr. ambassador, that there will be any military help for ukraine in this confrontation, or are you looking for sort of a global effort at diplomacy? >> both. we are looking for -- to raise the world leaders and ask to stop this aggression when it is very first stage and until putin has not signed yet this decision over the parliament. secondly, today the parliament and the government addressed our guarantors under the budapest memorand memorandum, the budapest memorandum that was signed because of our decision to get rid of nuclear weapons, to protect our nuclear objects,
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namely the nuclear plants. so it means that we need military support as well. >> so military support in terms of weaponry. but so many, including the united states, seem to have at least come very close to ruling out military involvement by other nations. is that your understanding? >> we are to demonstrate that we have our own capacity to protect ourselves as it was decided today in the parliament and we are preparing to defend ourselves. and nationally if aggravation is going in that way, when the russian troops, they are enlarging their quantity with every coming hour, naturally we will ask for military support and other kind of support. >> and lastly, mr. ambassador,
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if i may, what do you think vladimir putin wants? >> well, it's difficult to explain sometimes the behavior of some leaders. but what i can tell directly now to him as well, we are in the great 40 days orthodox lent starts tomorrow. if he is a christian, if he demonstrates his christianity, instead of preparing to kill us, he should pray for us. >> mr. ambassador, yuriy sergeyev, we appreciate your time and hope to see you back here again soon. >> thank you. i wlant ant to bring in cnn diana magnate. we know what russia and the u.s. want. it is difficult from afar to understand what the crimean people want.
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>> reporter: well, i think it depends on whether you like to look on this as an occupation or as a peacekeeping mission which is the way most of the ethnic russians here in this region who form the majority of the population here look at it. just now, candy, literally half a minute ago, we had a convoy of cars coming up here with the russian flag on top and this pro-russian rally that's been taking place here in the main square behind me, they all went over there, they all waved their hands. they've been chanting putin, thank you, in the square earlier. you get the sense for the ethnic russians here they are very, very scared of the events that took place in kiev. they don't feel represented by the new ukrainian government. they feel that they need to have their rights protected, and that's why they like these unidentified military troops who are guarding their government apparatus. and, you know, you get the impression from them that they feel that president putin has got their back, and they like it that way. >> sorry, diana. so do i understand you that
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there is not any recognition in crimea itself. it certainly appears from afar that russian troops are now in control of very specific areas of crimea. >> reporter: it's more that the ethnic russians here don't mind that. they are happy to have this military presence which they feel is safeguarding them from the bigger threat which in their mind is the ultra nationalists in kiev who will come here and spread the ideas of the maydan, preserve the right to have russian as their first an only language and exclude their rights. they feel naturally more affiliated with russia than a lot of them do with ukraine or certainly the new ukraine. that's why they don't necessarily mind this military presence. but, that is not the entire of the crimean population. ethnic russians number the majority, 75% or so. you also have ukrainian
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nationals, you also have a 10% ethnic tatas and i think they are far more worried of this military presence on the streets. >> diana magnate from crimea, thank you so much. i'm joined by the former national security advisor to president barack obama. this certainly from afar looks like a real mess. you have basically a very weak government right now in kiev still trying to get itself together after a coup of the elected president who's fled to russia. you have an area of the ukraine which is autonomous, as they say, an autonomous republic, that has now seen an increase in the number of russian troops there and it looks like this sort of global confrontation. this is what the president had to say friday. >> the united states will stand with the international community in affirming that there will be costs for any military intervention in ukraine. >> like what, for instance? what is the cost? because i think we can say the russians are in crimea.
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>> well, clearly. i think the facts are that the russians have undertaken military intervention into crimea and they've done that in violation of international law. they've done that in violation of their own obligations in the bilateral agreements they have with ukraine and they've done it as the ambassador reported on earlier today in violation of their own obligations in the wake of ukraine becoming a sovereign country and giving up nuclear weapons. in 1994 -- i was involved -- russia committed to the territorial integrity -- >> what's going to stop them? >> well, it is a difficult set of circumstances because of the confluence of history and demography and geopolitics. this arose, of course, out of a rejection by the ukrainian people of a decision by yang - yanukovych to move away from association with europe and basically under severe financial pressure from the russians to move toward a close association with russia. this was rejected by the you ukrainian people and yanukovych is now gone.
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now what can happen, is your question. number one, what the russians have done here needs to be condemned in the strongest terms because it is clearly a violation of international law. it should be condemned at the united nations security council and a bunch of other fora as well. the russians have a veto at the security council. i still think it is very important the security council, given the stakes here and given the tensions here, and given the potential for conflict, to step in and seek to condemn this and seek to demand deescalation. that's the second thing. >> which russia as a permanent member is going to be tough. >> it will be. but i think it is important to make the point there. by the way, it is also to confront the chinese on this principle of territorial integrity and sovereignty. but let me go on with what else i think will happen. two is that as the president did yesterday, the russians need to be called upon to deescalate here. it is not clear who they were acting to protect from some dire need here. there is no evidence i don't think that i've seen that in fact any russian ethnic or any
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of the military personnel and other personnel that russia has legitimately in crimea were under threat. if they did, they could have taken those concern directly to the people. i think it is important the interim government be supported in kiev. i'd like to see secretary kerry support them financially and i think the number of steps need to be taken including stepping away from having the g-8 summit in sochi this june. >> really how much influence does that have over putin? this is a critical and a cultural place to which the crimea, to which russia has a huge attachment. saying, hey, we're not going to the g-8 now, just seems like he's going to go, yeah, okay, it's more important to me. what moves putin out of crimea? >> he needs to be isolated on the issue of the international community.
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secondly, i do think that it is significant, frankly, for there to be a suspension of participation by russians in the g-8 and perhaps calling off the meeting this spring. but next i do think it is important to continue to isolate them politically and perhaps economically and we should look at, candy, if indeed there is not deescalation here and indeed this is pushed closer to the brink, and indeed if you look at the history here, this has always been a potential flashpoint between russia and the ukraine -- and crimea. if there is not deescalation i think we should look at economic sanctions and pressure on russia which can be significant. russia's economy right now is not in the the strongest position. they need the eu markets very much and i do think economic pressure should be considered here. >> i want to read you a quote actually from the former national intelligence officer for russia you raise at the nic who said in the "new york times" saturday -- we'll talk about
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sanctions, we'll talk about red lines, we'll basically drive ourselves into a frenzy and he'll -- meaning putin -- will stand back and just watch it. he just knows that none of the rest of us want a war. and again, this is the idea to what gets to putin. because he is, i read someplace, like 100% more interested in what happens in crimea than any of the countries now saying this is terrible. >> i think that's fair. and indeed, again, this reflects i think a view on putin's part that in fact the ukraine and the former soviet republics are truly not independent of russian influence. this of course is what was rejected in kiev by the ukrainian people. this has been a blow to putin in terms of their assertion of this influence, if you will, over ukraine and doing everything they can to prevent ukraine from associating more closely economically and other ways with europe. and this was rejected.
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it is a real blow to putin and he's reacting to it. >> former national security advisor, tom donilon. we appreciate your insight. there is no shortage of opinions about what the u.s. should do in ukraine. senators dick durbin and lindsey graham next. we only know one direction: up so we're up early. up late. thinking up game-changing ideas, like this: dozens of tax free zones across new york state. move here. expand here. or start a new business here... and pay no taxes for 10 years. with new jobs, new opportunities and a new tax free plan. there's only one way for your business to go. up. find out if your business can qualify at start-upny.com predibut, manufacturings a prettin the united states do. means advanced technology. we learned that technology allows us to be craft oriented.
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joining me now, senator dick durbin, the number two democrat in the senate, and member of the foreign relations committee. and senator lindsey graham, republican from south carolina, he sits on the senate armed services committee. gentlemen, thank you both for joining me today. i'm kind of tempted to say ukraine, go, and see what comes out because this is aen ev ean ever-changing situation. let me try to channel this and say to you, senator graham, the president has come out and spoken very forcefully on friday about consequences. the u.s. has made it clear that it disapproves of what russia has done. you've been tweeting about strong statements. what more do you want from president obama at this point?
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>> well, number one, stop going on television and trying to threaten thugs and dictators. it is not your strong suit. every time the president goes on national television and threatens putin or anyone like putin, everybody's eyes roll, including mine. we have a weak and indecisive president that invites aggression. president obama needs to do something. how about this -- suspend russian membership in the g-8 and the g-20 at least for a year starting right now. for every day that they stay in crimea, add to the suspension. do something. >> senator durbin, i manl you're going to disagree, at least with the description of how president obama's handled things. >> well, of course i disagree. you would expect the president of the united states to speak out against what putin is trying to achieve here. we got to remember that putin developed his diplomatic fin news as the head of the soviet secret police. and his idea of invading
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countries occupying them and really daring people to go to war is the -- those are the tactics of a bully. what the president has done is speak out against them. this notion of taking him out of the g-8 has already been suggested by the administration. some members. and i think it is the right thing do. now what congress has to do, what the senate should do, quickly, is a resolution condemning what putin has done. second, saying that if ukraine will stand up for real reform, that we're going to back them through the imf and making it clear to our allies in nato that that appliance is strong and neighborhoo neighbors of russia that we're going to do everything on our part and discourage further aggression by putin. >> i hear of resolutions of condemnation, i hear the president say this is wrong, you are violating the law, there will be dire consequences. given the stakes for putin in this area of the world, why would he care about any of this? >> candy -- >> i'm not sure that he does --
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>> i'm sorry, go ahead, senator graham. we'll be back, senator durbin, in a second. >> well, i tell you what -- he very much cares about democracy on his borders. i would like to create a democratic news around putin's russia. durbin -- dick durbin is right, georgia is trying to seek nato admission through the membership action plan. let's accelerate georgia's admission into nato. mull dove ya is under siege by russia. let's help mall dave ya. let's protect a rogue missile attack coming out of the middle east. if i were president obama, i would reengage poland and the czech republic regarding missile defense. i woulded a in the georgia to nato. i'd have a larger military presence in the balkans to nato members who are threatened by russia. i would fly the nato flag as strongly as i could around putin. i would suspend his membership
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in the g-8. become the g-7. every day he stays in the ukraine i would add to it. >> senator durbin, first to the question of why would putin care about this condemnation? he is much more interested in crimea than he is about what the united states thinks about him. >> candy, vladimir putin and the russians just spent $50 billion on this sochi charm offensive to try to redefine russia in the 21st century. that sochi charm offensive died on the streets of sevastopol. he's tries to have it both ways. he wants this grandiose vision of power in those countries that depend on russia for natural resources, then he wants to play like he's part of civilized society.
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he should not be allowed to fly back and forth to europe at will. we have to make feel there is a price to pay for this conduct. >> and he does care about missile defense systems in poland and the czech republic. he does care about the fate of georgia. he invaded the country. so let's challenge him where we can. let's secure our friends, and if at the end of this, candy, he has not paid a price, if russia is not isolated, if there continue to be membership in good standing with every international organization, shame on us all. >> in the end, can there be any sort of deal that backs russia off that does not include russia's concerns and take into consideration russian concerns when it looks at the ukraine, it sees western intervention, it saw top u.s. officials out before the president was ousted and fled to russia. there were top u.s. officials on the streets in kiev supporting the demonstrators. so putin looks at this and says
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the west is interfering in sort of my neighborhood. so doesn't putin's ties to -- perceived or real -- to the ukraine, to crimea, have to be considered if there's to be a diplomatic solution? senator durbin. >> well, let me say, from my point of view, i agree with lindsey when he talks about missile defense and strengthening nato alliance. now let's be honest about it -- crimea has been in a crucible for decades, if not centuries, over its identity and its future. and it was the ukrainian government that invited the russian government to establish a base agreement in crimea. that complicates it, as does the ethnic breakdown within that region. but we've got to make it clear to putin that if there are russian speaking people on the soil of another nation, that doesn't give him license to
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invade -- to protect him when there is no obvious threat against him. there are russians spread all over the former soviet empower there in countries that are today very free, very democratic and very friendly to the united states. we've got to draw the line. >> senator graham, i want to read you something from the congresswoman, part of a ukrainian caucus on capitol hill, democrat from ohio, in which she said in an interview, if i was president putin, i would have been worried with the collapse of the party regions -- that is the government of kiev -- about peace in the crimea. i understand the government's military posture. this be runs counter to what anything you or senator durbin is saying right now. what do you make of that position that there is a russian view to this that's not totally understood or taken into account? >> it is a horrible position for american political leader to take, to legitimize what's happening. the crimea is part of the ukraine. in 1994 there was an agreement
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as the former soviet union split up -- and by the way, putin's trying to create a new russian empire and we should stand up. the crimea is complicated but it is part of the ukraine. 1994 agreement, the ukrainians gave up all nuclear weapons to maintain territorial and sovereignty. this is not the way to influence a democratic state. yes, people in kiev need to understand eastern russia has its complications. but nobody in the world, including a member of congress, should legitimize using 15,000 troops to invade a country to have your say about what's going on regarding your neighbor. this is an invasion. the crimea is part of the ukraine. this is not the way you settle disputes. can china go in and take islands away from japan? the iranians are wafg. if we do not decisivelily push back against putin and make him weaker and all of our friends in the region stronger, the iranians are going to misunderstand yet again raring their nuclear program.
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so much is at stake. putin's on the wrong side of history and on the wrong side of the law. make him pay a price. american people are dying for their freedom. i hope we will stand with them. not just in words, but in deeds. >> senator durbin, your reaction to what congresswoman mccatcher had to say? >> i disagree with marcy. i think we need to be sensitive to the russian populations in crimea. as i said, this is an historic reality. but the notion that putin can send in, as lindsey graham says, 15,000 troops, or whatever the number, in order to so-called protect them just defies the sovereignty of ukraine and especially the point he made, an agreement, which the russians were signatories to back in 1994. i would say to my friend congresswoman kaptor, we can be sensitive to the russian reality in crimea but don't give
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president putin sovereignty to invade. with all the saber rattling in russia -- is this a time to cut back on spending? senators, stay with us. sound of spray paint ]k so, ♪ we asked people a question, how much money do you think you'll need when you retire? $500,000. maybe half-million. say a million dollars. [ dan ] then we gave each person a ribbon to show how many years that amount might last. ♪ i was trying to like pull it a little further. you know, i was trying to stretch it a little bit more. [ woman ] got me to 70 years old. i'm going to have to rethink this thing. [ man ] i looked around at everybody else and i was like, "are you kidding me?" [ dan ] it's just human nature to focus on the here and now. so it's hard to imagine how much we'll need for a retirement that could last 30 years or more. so maybe we need to approach things differently, if we want to be ready for a longer retirement. ♪
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durbin and graham. i want to take the opportunity to talk to both of you about the new budget proposal from secretary hagel out of the pentagon which basically would cut the army, kind of world war ii levels, cut back on equipment, getting ready for kind of a new sort of warfare. i feel as though i have heard that for some time. i imagine that both of you agree -- are going to agree it is too much, but what would you suggest in terms of cuts in the pentagon? senator durbin? >> i can tell you that we live in a dangerous world. the united states has the strongest military in that world and we want to make sure we always have military that can keep america safe -- >> would these cuts make it less that -- would these cuts that are being proposed make it less powerful? >> let me address one point you made, candy, at the opening. that is this is going to reduce
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our troop strength below world war ii levels. the men -- primarily men and women who served in the military in world war ii were the greatest generation, the best soerldz on earth and they proved it. but today's soldier brings more capacity, capability and more firepower than those soldiers in world war ii ever did. so numbers alone don't tell the story. we have to make certain we have the very best military, well trained and that we have the best technology to back up our national defense. but at the same time, acknowledge the reality. we are not going to -- i hope we're not going to engage in another land war like iraq or afghanistan, a long-term commitment that costs too much in human lives and treasure. secondly, we've got to make certain that we reduce spending in all areas. >> senator graham, it certainly sounds as though, given the state of the world and the kinds of warfare that are seen in the future, that you don't need as many people as you did when there were world war i, world war ii, vietnam, any of those. >> well, my goal is to deter
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war. read the report as to what's going on in north korea. do you think the person running north korea's rational? it is a gulag. it is nazi type tactics being practiced in 2014. what if the leader of north korea woke up tomorrow and said it's time now to take the south. 440,000 members of the united states army is a gutted army. we do have a lot of technology available to our troops. every soldier goes into battle with an array of technology and equipment not possessed in world war ii. but you still need trigger pullers. so this budget by president obama guts our defense. it is the smallest army since 1940. the smallest navy since 1915 and the smallest air force in modern history. if you went into iran tomorrow to have to neutralize or stop their nuclear program, you're going to need every b-2 and f-22 you can get. the f-16 and f-18 are great planes but they're not stealth. so if you're going to modernize
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your military for future conflicts, this budget will not allow you to do it. the idea you're taking off what kind of wars you're going to fight assumes the enemies of our nation will agree with you. >> senator durbin, the last word to you. in fact, the "wall street journal" made much the same point as senator graham did, saying, look, the pumps of fielding a large army is to minimize the temptation for aggressi aggression. how far is too far to cut back on troops? >> well, i don't know that we can pin our national defense strategy on the irrationality of leaders in north korea because i don't know that we can ever build a national military that would deter some craziness by someone. but the question is can we protect the united states, can we protect our citizens and our interests around the world? and that means, for example, strengthening the nato alliance, making certain that we could have troops in south korea that are there, god forbid something occurs in the future. i have great confidence of the men and women in the military an our technology to continue to meet that challenge. but we have to acknowledge the
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obvious. if we are going to reduce our debt for future generations, we are going to have to cut spending on the defense and non-defense sides. >> senator durbin, senator graham, thank you both for joining me this morning. >> thank you. we're going to keep our eye on the crisis in ukraine, but up next -- joe biden's got his eye on 2016, we think. but is the hillary clinton hurdle too high for him to clear? our panel is here to talk about it. [ female announcer ] you get sick, you can't breathe through your nose... suddenly you're a mouthbreather. well, put on a breathe right strip and instantly open your nose up to 38% more than cold medicines alone. so you can breathe and sleep. shut your mouth and sleep right. breathe right. why let erectile dysfunction get in your way? talk to your doctor about viagra. ask if your heart is healthy enough for sex. do not take viagra if you take nitrates for chest pain; it may cause an unsafe drop in blood pressure. side effects include headache, flushing, upset stomach, and abnormal vision. to avoid long-term injury, seek immediate medical help for an erection lasting more than four hours.
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...and the evenings are filled with familiar comforts. find your away. for a dealer and the rv that's right for you, visit gorving.com. joining me around the table, bill burton, deputy white house press secretary during obama's first term. amy walter, national editor for the cook political report. and ross tal bit, "new york times" columnist and cnn contributor. joe biden, out and about. it seems to me a little bit he has over the last month raised his profile and was on "the view" tuesday.
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want to play just a quick part of that. >> whether she runs or not will not affect my decision. >> have you not said no. >> no, i have not said no. i just truly have not made up my mind. >> we don't even need to say who "she" was. >> elizabeth warren. >> so, hillary clinton he was talking about obviously. it seems to me that joe biden would so much like to run but that hillary clinton has everything to do with it. am i reading this wrong? >> no, you're not. he's the sitting vice president of the united states of america. beyond dick cheney who took himself out, when have you not had a vice president considered as a front-runner? he should right out front. but you're right, this is somebody who knows he's not the first choice of the party. it is hillary clinton. but he also knows, like many of us in this town do, that it's not a 100% guarantee that hillary clinton runs so why should he be sitting on the
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sidelines right now? >> there's no reason for him to sit on the sidelines but the reality is that the only way that he would possibly beat hillary clinton in a democratic primary is if he personally climbs in a fighter jet in the next couple hours, flies to the crimea, punches several russian soldiers in the face, and then does it 15 more times between now and the election. it's just -- i think we went through this with hillary in 2008 where people talked about her inevitability and then she turned out not to be inevitable after all. but two realities i think make this landscape different. one is that actually her poll numbers are much better now going into 2016 than they ever were going into 2008. her lead over potential challengers, biden included -- and he's obviously the one with the most name recognition is immei immen immense. that leads to an assumption in d.c. that if there is any kind of challenge to hillary, it's going to have to come from somewhere new and fresh and
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unexpected coming out of left field, as it were, rather than from some known quantity. >> you think it would have to be someone from her left. and that new and exciting person would be? >> well, i don't know that there's anybody who's really lining up to run against hillary clinton. but i will say, this is a special circumstance. yes, joe biden is the sitting vice president and there hasn't been situations where the sitting vice president isn't considered as much, but because of 2008, because of the energy that secretary clinton left on the battlefield, i think that she is so far ahead, more so than any front-runner in the history of democratic politics. >> because there is a huge block of particularly women who believe she was robbed. who -- you're shaking your head yes. it really doesn't just feel like -- >> i don't want to take all the credit for the 2000 primary but i will sea that joe biden would make an extraordinary president. it's why president obama picked
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him to be his vice president. but there is this lingering energy and maybe some animosity who feel this was secretary clinton's time and now they want to make it happen in 2016. >> extraordinary is really the right advice of words for abiden presidency. >> all joking aside, he has a very impressive resume. the experience that he would bring to the oval office would be unparalleled really with many modern presidents. >> let me move us back two years and talk about the mid-terms this november. want to show you first of all what we call the jenmaker ballot. 42% of registered voters said, 39% said democrats, on down the line to don't know or won't vote. what does that mean? seems we always dismiss the generic ballot but truth is, it used to be a huge margin so you have to watch which way a poll is going. >> the generic doesn't mean as much in an era when
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redistricting has made almost every seat safe from the national political environment. but what it does talk about is just the overall mood and the mood right now is favoring republicans. that generic ballot traditionally is more supportive of democrats. there are more people who are registered as democrats in this country or who identify as democrats. >> which a 4 point lead for republicans that translates into big numbers of seats in like red or purplish states. if you are in arkansas or in alaska, louisiana, north carolina, places where the senate is resting, that four-point lead looks like a ten-point republican lead and that's bad news. >> going back to 2010, a big republican sweep in the house, i believe the generic ballots were relatively close. >> but if you go back to 2006 -- >> right. >> last time democrats won control at this point in the cycle, nobody thought that democrats were going to be able
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to take control of the house. i think it's still very early and the best that democrats can do is what they're doing. where they're recruiting good candidates your raising republicans quarter after quarter and i think we're still very far out to know what's going to happen. >> true. but again the trajectory cannot comfort democrats at this point. >> the landscape is not good. look, second term, mid term, tend to be referendum on the sitting president for better or worse and right now president obama's numbers are not good. i don't think that the white house's handling of russia and ukraine is instilling a great deal of confidence at the moment. obama care is still relatively unpopular and we lose sight of this, while the economy is in decent okay shape it's never come roaring back the way the white house wanted it. >> folks still aren't feeling when you say how is the economy doing. two internals to this poll, the first one republicans versus democratics on -- democrats on
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favorable/unfavorable. this is the opinion of the republican party. 6 % of the people in the republican party have a favorable image of the party. right. whereas 85% of democrats have a favorable view of the democratic party. so does this speak to enthusiasm? does this speaks to the tea party? translate these for me. >> the tea party. in some ways the republican party is still trying to figure out what its overall image is going to be. who are we as a party? they've been fighting this since the 2010 election and that's fair because they don't have a standard bearer in the way that democrats do with somebody sitting in the white house. the bigger problem i think for republicans right now, they can win this election, they can do very well in the mid terms but their overall approval rating is so low that they go into 2016 with an image that is so tarnished and so weighed down with negatives that it's going to take more than just one good election to get rid of them. >> so conflicted.
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look at the state of the gop when you look at arizona, for example, where jan brewer vetoed the anti-gay law. when jan brewer is saying that you're too far to the right, i mean you're really out there. and, you know, in the republican party i think you've got people like john mccain on the one side and people like the folks who voted that law and sent it to jan brewer's desk on the other side and people don't feel good about that. >> people in our line of work misrepresented the content of that law, at least moderately helpful to -- >> we'll end it there. thank you, all for being here. stay with cnn as we continue to follow the unfolding crisis in ukraine. former secretary of state madeleine albright is at the top of the hour on "fareed zakaria gps." n. when the world called for speed... ♪ ...when the world called for stealth... ♪ ...intelligence...
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thanks so much for watching "state of the union." if you missed any part of today's show find us on itunes, search state of the union. "fareed zakaria gps" is next after a check of the headlines.
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hi there, i'm christi paul at cnn headquarters in atlanta. here now with our hour's top stories. ukraine's prime minister said the country is on the brink of disaster. russian troops surrounding its military bases amounts to a declaration of war. ukraine has deployed its troops across the country even though the defense minister says his military doesn't stand a chance against russia. 50 people were detained while protesting outside the defense ministry building according to moscow police. other sources suggest the number of people detained within the hundreds. video suggests they were demonstrating against the military action in ukraine. hundreds also protested in warsaw, poland. pope francis, meanwhile, is telling leaders in russia and ukraine to use talks to resolve the crisis. he asked people to pray for ukraine in his sunday address at the vatican and urged other nations to support dialog in
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what he called, quote, a delicate situation. i'm christie paul. those are your headlines. "fareed zakaria gps" starts now. this is "gps," the global public square. welcome to all of you in the united states and around the world. i'm fareed zakaria. coming to you live today from new york. dramatic developments, first up ukraine calls russia's actions a declaration of war. secretary of state john kerry calls it an invasion and occupation. just how bad is it and what can be done? we will cover all the angles. vitally clichco on his country's response to russian aggression. madeleine albright, the former secretary of state, brzezinski zbigniew, the former national security adviser on what the united states can and should do. then, is vladimir putin really the bad guy

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